Fig. 5.1
Group rates compared to the entire sample
Fig. 5.2
Group rates compared to those who endorsed PTSD at any time
It should be noted that the present study employed a continuum of delays across time, instead of a rigid division into “delayed/acute” PTSD cases. However, for the purpose of the prevalence analyses we shall treat the 1984 and 2002 groups as those representing DPTSD. Thus, veterans who did not endorse PTSD in the first assessment, but did experience first PTSD onset at either 1984 or 2002, are considered cases of delayed PTSD. This 1-year cutoff differs from the 6-month threshold presented by the DSM. However, it is in line with other studies of delayed PTSD (Andrews et al., 2007).
As can be seen, when using the entire sample as a point of reference, the largest group consisted of veterans who experienced their first PTSD onset 1 year after the war, followed by veterans who did not suffer from PTSD at any time of assessment during the study’s 20-year period. Together, the two groups that represent relative delays in PTSD onset (2 years and 20 years delay) consisted of 16.5 % of the sample. Interestingly, the rate of veterans who experienced a 2-year delay was very similar to that of veterans experiencing a 20-year delay.
When examining only those veterans who endorsed PTSD, the 1983 onset group remains the largest. Veterans with relative delays in PTSD onset (2 and 20 years postwar) consist of 27 % of the entire PTSD population, again with the 1984 and 2002 showing quite similar rates.
Clinical Characteristics of DPTSD
Group Differences in Psychopathology
The four study groups were compared with regard to the following measures of psychopathology: number of PTSD symptoms, IES intrusion and avoidance symptoms, general psychiatric problems (GSI), problems in functioning, and number of physical health problems. A series of two-way ANOVAs was conducted, with each ANOVA comprising of two independent variables (onset group and CSR) and one dependent variable (psychopathology measure). The data entered into analysis for each group refers only to the year of first reported PTSD onset. For example, the 1983 onset group was assessed for psychiatric problems, functioning problems, etc. only at 1983, which was the year of its first PTSD onset. Data for the no PTSD group was collected at 2002, the last time point possible. Results are presented in Table 5.1.
Table 5.1
Means, SDs, and F values for psychopathology measures according to CSR and study group
PTSD symptoms | GSI | Functioning problems | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | SD | F group (3,667) | F CSR (1,667) | F interaction (3,667) | M | SD | F group (3,667) | F CSR (1,667) | F interaction (3,667) | M | SD | F group (3,667) | F CSR (1,667) | F interaction (3,667) | ||||||
CSR | 1983 | 8.91 | 2.20 | 151.64*** | 38.57*** | 2.67* | CSR | 1983 | 1.37 | 0.72 | 21.56*** | 7.82** | 3.15* | CSR | 1983 | 13.65 | 6.47 | 30.35*** | 7.63** | 2.41 n.s. |
1984 | 9.74 | 5.85 | ||||||||||||||||||
2002 | 9.38 | 4.58 | ||||||||||||||||||
1984 | 1.05 | 0.73 | No PTSD | 7.36 | 4.41 | |||||||||||||||
2002 | 0.98 | 0.41 | ||||||||||||||||||
1984 | 7.00 | 1.91 | No PTSD | 0.72 | 0.52 | |||||||||||||||
2002 | 7.38 | 1.95 | ||||||||||||||||||
No PTSD | 3.88 | 2.68 | ||||||||||||||||||
Non-CSR | 1983 | 6.98 | 2.08 | Non-CSR | 1983 | 0.97 | 0.67 | Non-CSR | 1983 | 10.37 | 6.26 | |||||||||
1984 | 7.83 | 4.07 | ||||||||||||||||||
2002 | 8.90 | 3.05 | ||||||||||||||||||
1984 | 0.85 | 0.60 | No PTSD | 6.72 | 3.80 | |||||||||||||||
2002 | 0.92 | 0.42 | ||||||||||||||||||
1984 | 5.25 | 1.78 | No PTSD | 0.66 | 0.41 | |||||||||||||||
2002 | 6.07 | 2.37 | ||||||||||||||||||
No PTSD | 3.12 | 1.91 |
IES intrusion | IES avoidance | Physical health problems | ||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
M | SD | F group (3,667) | F CSR (1,667) | F interaction (3,667) | M | SD | F group (3,667) | F CSR (1,667) | F interaction (3,667) | M | SD | F group (3,667) | F CSR (1,667) | F interaction (3,667) | ||||||
CSR | 1983 | 3.08 | 1.25 | 68.29*** | 35.64*** | 0.89 n.s. | CSR | 1983 | 2.10 | 1.09 | 31.93*** | 5.15* | 0.85 n.s. | CSR | 1983 | 1.31 | 1.32 | 10.98*** | 0.97 n.s. | 0.40 n.s. |
1984 | 1.71 | 1.36 | ||||||||||||||||||
2002 | 0.92 | 0.83 | ||||||||||||||||||
1984 | 2.38 | 1.28 | No PTSD | 0.81 | 0.75 | |||||||||||||||
2002 | 1.77 | 0.74 | ||||||||||||||||||
No PTSD | 1.47 | 1.12 | 1984 | 1.50 | 0.96 | |||||||||||||||
2002 | 1.23 | 0.85 | ||||||||||||||||||
No PTSD | 1.07 | 0.89 | ||||||||||||||||||
Non-CSR | 1983 | 2.26 | 1.10 | Non-CSR | 1983 | 1.68 | 1.14 | Non-CSR | 1983 | 1.35 | 1.31 | |||||||||
1984 | 1.42 | 1.18 | ||||||||||||||||||
2002 | 0.97 | 0.94 | ||||||||||||||||||
1984 | 1.21 | 0.76 | ||||||||||||||||||
No PTSD | 0.86 | 0.71 | ||||||||||||||||||
2002 | 1.17 | 0.91 | ||||||||||||||||||
1984 | 1.57 | 0.81 | No PTSD | 0.91 | 0.70 | |||||||||||||||
2002 | 1.21 | 0.87 | ||||||||||||||||||
No PTSD | 0.96 | 0.71 |
As can be seen in Table 5.1, group had a main effect on all measures of psychopathology. LSD post hoc tests were conducted separately for each ANOVA. Taken together, the results regarding psychopathology supported our hypothesis predicting a negative association between the duration of delay (DOD) in PTSD onset and the severity of psychopathology. Thus, the shorter the delay in PTSD onset, the more severe the psychopathology was reported. The 1983 onset group reported significantly higher scores than the other three groups on the vast majority of psychopathology measures (excluding health problems, on which the 1983 and 1984 onset groups did not differ). Also, as expected, the no PTSD group reported lower levels of psychopathology than the 1983, 1984, and 2002 onset groups (excluding only IES avoidance, on which the 2002 onset and no PTSD groups did not differ). Interestingly, the 1984 and 2002 onset groups did not significantly differ with regard to most measures of psychopathology (excluding only health problems and IES intrusion, on which the 1984 onset group was more symptomatic).
CSR, DPTSD, and Psychopathology
The results of this study supported our hypothesis that CSR would be associated with shorter delays in PTSD. The four groups differed in the number of veterans who experienced antecedent CSR (χ 2(3) = 151.72, p < 0.001). As expected, the highest rate of CSR was found among the 1983 onset group (79.3 %, N = 237), followed by the 1984 onset (58.6 %, N = 34), 2002 onset (45.3 %, N = 24), and no PTSD (27.9 %, N = 74) groups.
As indicated in Table 5.1, CSR and non-CSR veterans also significantly differed on the vast majority of psychopathology measures (excluding only number of health problems). Thus, overall, CSR veterans reported more severe psychopathology than non-CSR veterans.
This study was designed to examine interaction effects between CSR and study group, with regard to the various measures of psychopathology. As can be seen in Table 5.1, two significant interaction effects were found, one for PTSD symptoms and the other for GSI. Thus, group differences in PTSD symptoms and GSI were more accentuated among the CSR group compared to the non-CSR group.
Is DPTSD an “All-or-Nothing” Condition?
Another aim of this study was to examine whether DPTSD appears after a completely asymptomatic period. In order to answer that question, we examined whether veterans from the 1984 onset group suffered from PTSD symptoms in the previous measurement (1983), or if they had no symptoms at all. Two similar analyses were conducted for the 2002 onset group and the no PTSD group. For the 2002 onset group, we examined whether the veterans suffered from PTSD symptoms at any of the two previous assessments (i.e., 1983 and/or 1984). For the no PTSD group, we examined whether veterans were symptomatic at any of the three assessments. It should be noted that we adopted a dichotomous approach here, comparing those with no prior symptoms at all to those with at least one prior PTSD symptom. For further analyses based on a more continuous approach for measuring number of prior symptoms, see Horesh, Solomon, Keinan, & Ein-Dor, 2013).
When we assessed the number of veterans who had at least some level of PTSD symptoms at any of the previous assessments, the rate of previously symptomatic veterans from the 1984 onset, 2002 onset, and no PTSD groups were 86.2 % (n = 50), 98.11 % (n = 52), and 93.58 % (n = 248), respectively. Taken together, these results confirmed our hypothesis that among the majority of veterans with DPTSD, full-blown PTSD will appear following a symptomatic period. All groups were generally symptomatic prior to PTSD onset.
The Role of Personal and Social Resources in DPTSD
Our research model hypothesized associations between psychological resources (social support, locus of control, problem- and emotion-focused coping) and the duration of delay in PTSD onset. The aim of our model was to examine the prospective contribution of these resources to the delay in PTSD onset. Since all independent variables were measured at 1984, the model is based only on data collected at 1984 and 2002, and does not include data from 1983. This was done in order to avoid the violation of the prospective nature of this study, as well as the basic assumptions of any mediation model. In order to examine the model, a new ordinal variable was created, called “duration of delay” (DOD). The DOD variable is based on the previous categorization into study groups, with “1984 onset” representing the shortest duration of delay, followed by “2002 onset” and finally “no PTSD.” This resulted in a three-point ordinal variable.
Social Support, Locus of Control and Coping: A Mediation Model
The mediation hypotheses were examined using the EQS 6.1 Structural Equation Models (SEM) software (Bentler & Wu, 1995). Model fit was estimated with the comparative fit index (CFI), the non-normed fit index (NNFI), and the root mean-square error of approximation (RMSEA). CSR was entered as a covariate, in order to test the model for the entire sample. Since DOD was entered as an ordinal variable, the SEM analysis was adjusted accordingly. Most importantly, the chi-square test used to assess model fit was the Satorra–Bentler (S-B) scaled chi-square (Satorra & Bentler, 2001), which incorporates a scaling correction for the chi-square statistic when distributional assumptions are violated.
Did Social Support and Locus of Control Predict DOD?
The structural model describing the pattern of relationships between the variables produced an excellent fit to the data: S-B χ 2 (1, N = 376) = 0.0000, p = 1.00, CFI = 1, GFI = 1, 1-RMSEA = 1. Veterans’ DOD was significantly predicted by both social support (β = 0.11, p < 0.05) and locus of control (β = 0.24, p < 0.001). In line with our hypothesis, the more social support a veteran had, the longer was the delay in PTSD onset; In line with another hypothesis, the more internal a veteran’s locus of control was, the longer was the delay in his PTSD onset. The next step was to examine whether these two paths were mediated by coping.
Were the Mediation Paths Significant?
The structural model describing the pattern of relationships between the variables produced an excellent fit to the data: S-B χ 2 (1, N = 376) = 0.0000, p = 1.00, CFI = 1, NNFI = 1, 1-RMSEA = 1. Veterans’ social support significantly predicted both emotion-focused coping (β = 0.21, p < 0.001) and problem-focused coping (β = 0.43, p < 0.001). That is, the more social support a veteran had, the more he employed both problem- and emotion-focused coping. Moreover, a significant positive association was found between veterans’ problem-focused coping and DOD (β = 0.23, p < 0.001), i.e., the more a veteran employed problem-focused coping, the longer was the delay in PTSD onset. A significant negative association was found between veterans’ emotion-focused coping and DOD (β = −0.20, p < 0.001). In line with our hypothesis, the more a veteran employed emotion-focused coping, the shorter was the delay in PTSD onset. Locus of control was not significantly associated with either problem-focused coping (β = −0.06, n.s.) nor emotion-focused coping (β = −0.07, n.s.). Thus, the mediation paths were found to be significant for social support, but not for locus of control.
Assuming that A represents predicting variables, B represents mediating variables, and C represents the outcome variable, in order to examine the mediation effect the overall fit of the A–B–C model was first calculated when the A–C paths were constrained to zero. The model produced excellent fit to the data under the constrained condition: S-B χ 2 (2, N = 376) = 0.0001, p = 0.1.00, CFI = 1, NNFI = 1, 1-RMSEA = 1). Next, the overall fit of the A–B–C model was calculated when the A–C paths were not constrained. The model produced an excellent fit to the data: S-B χ 2 (1, N = 376) = 0.0001, p = 0.99, CFI = 1, NNFI = 1, 1-RMSEA = 1). The results indicated that there was no significant improvement in fit on the basis of the difference between the two model chi-squares (Δχ 2 = 0, Δdf = 1, n.s.). This indicates that the association between social support and DOD is fully mediated by both problem- and emotion-focused coping.
It should be noted that the analysis showed that social support was positively related to DOD. However, when the mediation paths were examined more closely, it was found that social support was positively related to emotion-focused coping, which in turn was negatively related to DOD. Initially, this may seem as a peculiar finding, as it seemingly contradicts the overall positive relation between social support and DOD. This finding seems to represent what is known as “inconsistent mediation” (MacKinnon, Krull, & Lockwood, 2000; Shrout & Bolger, 2002), i.e., the mediation path produces an overall correlation opposite in sign (in this case, a minus sign) to that of the overall correlation (in this case, a positive correlation). On the other hand, the second mediation path, through problem-focused coping, was consistent with the overall association of social support and DOD.
To summarize, Fig. 5.3 presents a graphic illustration of the research model.
Fig. 5.3
Research model describing the associations between Locus of control, social support, ways of coping, and DOD. ***p < 0.001. Values on arrows represent standardized solution coefficients from SEM with ordinal data. CSR was entered into the model as a covariant
To assess the relative contributions of the predictors included in this study to DOD, an ordinal regression was conducted, with social support, locus of control, both coping factors and CSR as the independent variables, and DOD as the ordinal dependent variable (Table 5.2).
Table 5.2
Prediction of DOD according to psychological resources and CSR
Estimate | Wald | Sig. | |
---|---|---|---|
Social support | 0.14 | 0.91 | 0.397 |
Locus of control | 0.41 | 9.13** | 0.004 |
P-F coping | 0.43 | 8.39** | 0.004 |
E-F coping | −0.47 | 10.04** | 0.002 |
CSR | −1.10 | 21.01*** | 0.000 |
As can be seen, when all predictors were examined together, only social support became nonsignificant. Of the remaining variables, CSR was the most powerful predictor of DOD, followed by emotion-focused coping, locus of control, and problem-focused coping.
Discussion
The Prevalence of DPTSD
The delay in PTSD is treated in this study as a continuum in time, where a PTSD onset 2 years after the war, for example, represents a longer delay in onset than a PTSD onset 1 year after the year. Our results indicate that a significant number of veterans reported a delay in PTSD onset. The two study groups that represent a relative delay in PTSD onset (the 1984 onset and 2002 onset groups) comprised 16.5 % of the entire sample and 27 % of those veterans who reported PTSD. The 16.5 % found here is higher than the rate found in most studies employing this method of calculation (e.g., Frueh et al., 2009). However, some studies have found similar rates (e.g., McFarlane, 1988). The 27 % found here seems to represent a midpoint between very low and very high rates that were previously found (Smid et al., 2009). Thus, the present study reveals a relatively high rate of DPTSD cases.
First and foremost, this finding empirically validates the existence of DPTSD, despite the turbulent medicolegal debate regarding the validity of this phenomenon. In recent years, the public discourse surrounding the military campaigns in Iraq and Afghanistan is increasingly becoming centered on the issue of “the hidden costs of war,” from both a financial (Hartung, 2004) and psychological (Coleman, 2007) perspective. The results of the present study clearly support the notion of a delayed PTSD as a hidden cost of war.
The relatively high rate of DPTSD in the present study may be attributed to several factors. First, our results seem to support Prigerson et al.’s contention (2001) that a delayed onset of PTSD symptoms is particularly common among survivors of war trauma. Combat is perhaps the most “masculine” trauma of all. Being tagged as “posttraumatic” following participation in combat often entails a social stigma. This may be especially true in a war-ridden country such as Israel, where the ability to endure the effects of battle is a desirable, even admirable, attribute. A second reason why war trauma may entail relatively high rates of DPTSD may be that during combat, soldiers enter a survival mode that is particularly insistent. The soldier cannot afford to experience psychological breakdown on the battlefield, as his life depends on his functioning. Thus, the psychological scars caused by the war may not manifest themselves on the battlefield or shortly thereafter, but rather remain unseen for a long period of time.
Another possible explanation for the relatively high rate of DPTSD in this study is that it was conducted in Israel, a country that may be viewed as a “stress lab,” where citizens are exposed to ongoing war and terror. DPTSD is known to be associated with external triggers, i.e., events that somehow resemble the index trauma and therefore trigger its recollections (e.g., Green et al., 1995). Thus, the security situation in Israel may provide many opportunities for the early trauma of war to rise to the foreground, even after a long latency period.
Our finding that for some veterans in this study PTSD onset was delayed for 20 years after the war may be attributed to two major factors. First, the third assessment of this study was conducted in 2002, in the midst of the Al-Aqsa Intifada, the violent armed conflict between Israel and the Palestinians. At the time, the Israeli civilian population was under constant terrorist attacks. As expected, studies have shown that this violent atmosphere was also implicated in posttraumatic distress (e.g., Bleich, Gelkopf, & Solomon, 2003). Therefore, it is highly reasonable that the events of that period served as a trigger for DPTSD. The second explanation for DPTSD at 2002 is related to the fact that many of the veterans in this study were approaching midlife, and were already experiencing various aging processes. There is considerable evidence (e.g., Davison et al., 2006) regarding the role of aging processes in the onset of PTSD. Decreased activity during midlife and old age provides one with more opportunities to reminisce and review one’s life, a process often accompanied by the recollection of early traumatic events. In addition, aging often entails many losses and exit events (e.g., retirement, death of loved ones) that may be particularly distressing for previously traumatized individuals (Christenson, Walker, Ross, & Maltbie, 1981).
The Clinical Picture of DPTSD
Previous studies have yielded mixed results regarding the severity of psychopathology in DPTSD (e.g., Bryant & Harvey, 2002; Solomon, Mikulincer, Waysman, & Marlowe, 1991; Watson, Kucala, Manifold, Vassar, & Juba, 1988). Our findings clearly indicate that the longer the delay in onset, the lower the symptom severity. The 1983 onset group was the most vulnerable, followed by the 1984 and 2002 onset groups, who did not differ from one another on most psychopathology measures, and finally the no PTSD group, which, as expected, endorsed the lowest psychopathology levels. Overall, these findings indicate that DPTSD may be considered a unique clinical subtype of PTSD, with an attenuated clinical picture. These findings also suggest that there may be a critical period, potentially a 1-year delay, during which the delay in PTSD onset is particularly related to the severity of psychopathology. However, once this temporal threshold is crossed, further delays in PTSD onset do not significantly affect the level of psychopathology. One possible explanation for our findings is that the initial impact of combat subsides with time, such that when it resurfaces, it takes a less severe form. A second possible explanation may be that veterans with DPTSD were initially more resilient to the effects of combat. This explanation was supported by earlier studies showing that casualties with DPTSD endorsed more psychological resources than those with immediate or chronic PTSD (e.g., Nitto, 2001).